Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000034
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000049
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020 0.000033 0.000059
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000038 0.000072
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000042 0.000086
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000047 0.000104
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000051 0.000123
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000057 0.000148
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000028 0.000062 0.000174
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000029 0.000069 0.000210
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000077 0.000255
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000081 0.000290
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000089 0.000349
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000032 0.000093 0.000391
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000034 0.000102 0.000467
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000036 0.000114 0.000579
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000037 0.000124 0.000691
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000039 0.000138 0.000852
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000040 0.000150 0.001028